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The Weekly Leaf

July 3, 2025

This week, the Quad foreign ministers met in Washington, the United States halted significant weapons shipments to Ukraine, Iran suspended cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency, and the Thai Constitutional Court suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra.

Read more below.

2025 Aspen Security Forum: Additional Speaker Announced

We are excited to announce additional speakers joining us at the 2025 Aspen Security Forum. All of our sessions will be livestreamed. Register to receive the link here.

Stay tuned for an agenda announcement!

This Week’s Content Highlights
Features from Aspen Strategy Group Members

Nicholas Burns interviewed by Andrew Ross Sorkin for CNBC: “Former Amb. Nicholas Burns: Don’t Think the U.S. and China Are Close to a Comprehensive Trade Deal”

Elizabeth Economy, Michael Froman, Jim Baker, and moderator David Rennie at the Aspen Ideas Festival“The Challenge of China”

Michèle Flournoy quoted by Peter Martin and Dan Williams for Bloomberg: “Israel Emerges Stronger From Iran War, But Risks Blowback” 

Michael Froman quoted by Gavin Bade and Brian Schwartz for The Wall Street Journal“Trump Said Trade Deals Would Come Easy. Japan Is Proving Him Wrong.

Susan Glasser, Melanie Zanona, Leigh Ann Caldwell, and David Drucker interviewed by Stephanie Ruhle for MSNBC: “‘Everyone in Line’: Senate GOP Scrambles to Please Trump by Passing Unpopular Megabill”

Michael J. Green for The Australian: “Albanese’s Sidestep on Defence Spending Cannot Be the Last Word”

Kay Bailey Hutchison interviewed by François Picard for France 24: “‘Europe Can Count on America, Our Congress Is Overwhelmingly Pro-NATO’”

David Ignatius for The Washington Post: “Trump Will Be Judged By the Work He Finishes. It’s Not His Strong Suit”

David Petraeus interviewed by Tony Dokoupil and Nancy Chen for CBS News: “General David Petraeus Weighs in on Global Conflict and U.S. Strategy”

Anne-Marie Slaughter for Bloomberg: “To Restore America, Start With Honor”

Dan Sullivan mentioned by Alexander Bolton for The HillVance Breaks 50-50 Tie as Senate Passes GOP Megabill  

Jake Sullivan for The New York Times: “Trump Is Playing a Cynical Game With Ukraine

Lawrence H. Summers and Robert E. Rubin for The New York Times: “We Both Served as Treasury Secretary. We Know This Bill Is Dangerous”

Post of the Week

Things to Know
Content Relevant to Aspen Security Forum Discussions

Gracelin Baskaran for the Center for Strategic & International Studies: “Turning Diplomatic Commitments into Mineral Investments in the Democratic Republic of Congo”

Marc Bennetts for The Times: “Ukraine Seeks Answers as Trump Puts Pause on Weapons Supplies

Bertrand Benoit for The Wall Street Journal: “Iran Suspected of Scouting Jewish Targets in Europe”

Wyre Davies and Rushdi Abualouf for BBC News: Trump Says Israel Has Agreed to Conditions for 60-Day Gaza Ceasefire

Joseph F. Dunford, Frances F. Townsend, and Michael J. Morell for The National Interest: “The Importance of U.S. Leadership in Open-Source AI Development”

France 24: “Turkey Arrests More Than 120 City Hall Members in Opposition Stronghold Izmir”

Ben Hubbard for The New York TimesIsrael and Syria in U.S.-Brokered Talks to End Border Conflict, Trump Envoy Says

Imran Khurshid for The Diplomat: “India, the Quad, and China’s Shadow: Building a Coherent Indo-Pacific Strategy”

Edith M. Lederer for The Washington Post: “Haiti’s Gangs Have ‘Near-Total Control’ of the Capital as Violence Escalates, UN Says”

Andrew Nachemson for Foreign Policy: “No Winners in Thailand-Cambodia Border Dispute”

Mark Pomerleau for DefenseScoop: “DOD Creating Joint Interagency Counter-Drone Task Force”

David E. Sanger for The New York TimesWill the Bombing Stop Iran From Going Nuclear?

Kori Schake for Foreign Affairs: “Dispensable Nation”

Jonathan Tirone for Bloomberg: Iran Shuts Out Nuclear Monitors in Tactics That Recall Cold War

Edward White and Harry Dempsey for the Financial Times: “The Vulnerabilities Holding Back Chinese Industry”

From the Archives

Revisit our conversation on the future of military power from the 2024 Aspen Security Forum.

The Future of Military Power

Chris Brose, Chief Strategy Officer, Anduril Industries; former Staff Director, United States Senate Armed Services Committee

Mara Karlin, Professor, Johns Hopkins University-SAIS; Visiting Fellow, Brookings Institution; former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy, Plans, and Capabilities, U.S. Department of Defense

ModeratorNick Schifrin, Foreign Affairs and Defense Correspondent, PBS NewsHour

Book of the Week

Shots Heard Round the World: America, Britain, and Europe in the Revolutionary War

By John Ferling

Shots Heard Round the World is a bold, comprehensive rendering of the world war that erupted out of America’s battle for independence. Ferling highlights underestimated pivotal moments to reveal why the British should have put down the rebellion within a couple years of fighting. As European rivals France, Spain, and the Dutch Republic entered the fray, Britain’s problems grew, but after seven long years, the war’s outcome remained very much in doubt. Ferling assesses military and civilian leaders, the choices they faced, and the political, tactical, and strategic decisions they made as the war raged in North America, the Caribbean, Central America, Europe, Asia, and on the high seas, affecting peoples and countries miles from American soil. Long after the soldiers laid down their arms, future generations have reckoned with the Revolution and its far-reaching consequences. Shots Heard Round the World is the definitive account of the war and its monumental legacy.”

Podcast of the Week

Elizabeth Economy and Noah Barkin join Andrea Kendall-Taylor on the Center for a New American Security’s Brussels Sprouts podcast: “How the U.S. and Europe Are Rethinking China”

 

The Weekly Leaf

This week, the Quad foreign ministers met in Washington, the United States halted significant weapons shipments to Ukraine, Iran suspended cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency, and the Thai Constitutional Court suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra.
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